We Have Reached The End of Antibiotics
Who to blame for the death of antibiotics:
1. FDA. it is not ONLY the cost and time to bring a drug to market (10 years-1 BILLION) but the FDA has killed many viable drugs in crony-capitalist arrangements
2. The US is the only major contributor to paying for the use of the drugs. Other countries refuse to pay the market price for the drugs.
3. Chillingly, President Obama has given many speeches where he has put forward shortening the patent life for drugs to 7 years. See above time frame and cost to recouping investment
4. the over-medicating argument is the same kind of argument such as using too much water or electricity or oil. Scientifically, bacteria will evolve to become resistant- Evolution, my dear Watson. The way to win this fight is to invent new drugs faster than the bacteria evolves. this cannot be done with our antiquated FDA process. What do you think?
1. FDA. it is not ONLY the cost and time to bring a drug to market (10 years-1 BILLION) but the FDA has killed many viable drugs in crony-capitalist arrangements
2. The US is the only major contributor to paying for the use of the drugs. Other countries refuse to pay the market price for the drugs.
3. Chillingly, President Obama has given many speeches where he has put forward shortening the patent life for drugs to 7 years. See above time frame and cost to recouping investment
4. the over-medicating argument is the same kind of argument such as using too much water or electricity or oil. Scientifically, bacteria will evolve to become resistant- Evolution, my dear Watson. The way to win this fight is to invent new drugs faster than the bacteria evolves. this cannot be done with our antiquated FDA process. What do you think?
Arguments blaming the food industry have no merit - we are allowed a list of ~10 antibiotics to use in food-producing animals (all of them have meat and milk withdrawal times).
I had a chemistry professor in undergrad that took an entire hour (unplanned) to rant about the process of developing a drug, the reasons for patents, and government regulations associated with manufacturing a drug. It was enlightening.
Over-medicating is a symptom of the problem not the direct cause. The cause is failure to complete the prescription. If you fail to complete the prescription you will have killed off most of the bug, leaving only the strongest behind, they then multiply. The problem is that in some parts of the world folks will take the antibiotics till they are feeling better, instead of until they are done. Add to that the part where there are places that for a long time were handing out antibiotics like candy and you will now inevitably have a problem.
To clarify ... it was the development lab, the research arm, of the Pfizer anti-bacterial group that I was referring to as having shut down, not manufacturing.
I'm betting nanites will be the next super anti-biotic.
Best anti-bacterial? Hand soap, hot water and vigorous scrubbing.
1. I would never look to Big pharma for our solutions. if the govt were less involved, you would see more competitors. Pfizer is quite happy we have such barriers to entry. The cost to manufacture drugs is nominal compared to development. The closing of the manufacturing plant is symbolic for the real issue. One incentive might be countries need to pay the market value for antibiotics.
2. the argument of over use (whether I completely agree or not) could be solved by less gatekeeping. If I have a virus, and I go to the doctor and pay 75-100 bucks for the visit, only to hear there's nothing he can do for me-I'm pissed. It's pressure like that (also the fault of govt) that leads to mis prescribing. The food industry argument also has flaws.
http://www.ahi.org/issues-advocacy/anima...
We cannot overlook the fact that people live longer and immuno-compromised people live longer. They get sick more often and spread infections. Bacteria become more resistant. There is some point of perfect intersection between development of drugs and their prescription. The government in all cases affects the perfection of that intersection.
At a high level, it seems like a couple of broad changes are needed to minimize the impact of impending medical disaster.
1. Let the drug companies make their money, possibly with incentives for antibiotics. I don't know where those incentives would come from. The only private sector thing I can think of is that antibiotics simply need to cost a fortune. And yes of course, unneeded regulation needs to get out of the way and all that.
2. People have been saying it for years, but we really do need to cut down drastically on the overuse, knee-jerk use, of antibiotics in humans and the food industry also. Easier said than done. This is classic, "Well, *I* really need this antibiotic right now, I can't afford to get sick. Everyone else should take it easy though."
Plus there are the factors of the business like the cost and risk of law suites, insurance, etc.
My thoughts are essentially half baked. Looking forward to more fully baked comments.