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Australia's Bureau of Meteorology predicted a hot dry summer right before the flooding rains came… Oops, They Claim Short Term Weather Forecasting Is Not Easy, Yet Claim 50 year Forecast Are Perfect?

Posted by freedomforall 4 months ago to Science
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Excerpt:
"Australians are angry the BOM didn’t see the flooding rains coming
Worse, we’re betting the nation on the BOM’s ability to predict the climate.

The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) tells Australians that record breaking extremes are getting worse because of our cars and our air-conditioners (that’s “The State of the Climate“). But when the BOM can’t predict record breaking rain a month in advance, or even the day before, we know the BOM doesn’t understand what drives the climate.

Somehow the BOM expect Australians to spend trillions and rearrange their economy based on their fifty year prophesies, but not to mind when “this summer” goes right off the rails."
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More proof of the hypocrisy and lying regarding CO2 and "Climate change" aka "Global Warming".
Trillions Wasted on Politicians Gaslighting the People
SOURCE URL: https://joannenova.com.au/2023/12/the-bom-predicted-a-hot-dry-summer-right-before-the-flooding-rains-came/


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  • Posted by mccannon01 4 months ago
    It’s been my experience the multi-billion dollar taxpayer funded weather forecasting systems are less than desired. Government grant funded research for long term weather prediction programs best guarantee fat wallets for recipients more than useful information for those paying the tab. A long time ago I read that predicting tomorrows weather will be the same as todays will make you at least 75% correct and it won’t cost you a dime.
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    • Posted by 4 months ago
      Getting satellite views of tropical storms probably has saved lives.
      Doing away with all government backed flood insurance would eventually save as many lives and trillions wasted on property damages of people foolish enough to build in flood (and storm surge) areas.
      Ok, probably some wealthy foolish people would still take the risks, but they'd also have to accept the fiscal responsibility instead of forcing it on others who are less foolish.
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  • Posted by $ Thoritsu 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    It is all bull$hit.

    An excellent recent example is NASA now admitting that water vapor is the most significant Greenhouse gas, but it is precipitated by CO2!!

    https://climate.nasa.gov/explore/ask-...

    Imagine if this was the story Al Gore told. No one would have listened for a minute. However, after the totalitarian scum used Goebbels' lying technique to get the idiot-lemmings to believe in CO2 monsters, they come around and quietly cover their exposed bullshit story vulnerability.
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    • Posted by 3 months, 3 weeks ago
      The world is filled with unthinking useful idiots.
      Since their votes are meaningless, they should be tested and encouraged to learn to think if they want to participate in government action.
      Being robbed by government made powerful by idiots is not acceptable.
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  • Posted by $ BobCat 3 months, 4 weeks ago
    The science of forecasting tells us that we are to believe in their predictive modeling of doom and gloom, oceans rising, and planet destruction, etc - -- - and they can't even predict tomorrow's rain shower.

    But the sheep don't care, they keep on thoughtlessly grazing and reproducing.
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    • Posted by 3 months, 4 weeks ago
      👍 According to the latest figures, its just the non-Caucasians that are reproducing.
      The fedgov etc are fixated on "bigger is better".
      Got to have more! More! More!
      Otherwise the federal reserve Ponzi scheme collapses and the rich (and the politically corrupt) get poor, too.
      Without lots more GDP (created from nothing via financialisation of fake industry) there will be no more debt and without more debt there is no fiat to pay the banksters the interest on the debt they created from nothing in the past.
      D.C. NIFO
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  • Posted by CaptainKirk 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    Living in FL, let me say that SOME Of this has come a long way. When I was young it was REALLY bad. So bad, it wasn't trustworthy at all.

    But nowadays, my phone has a lock on the weather. And I accept that a 15% chance of rain is more or less a POSSIBILITY of rain. Too many variables.

    And those models for Hurricanes. Because they are COMPETING with each other... I think they produce some interesting data. (The problem starts when the data is narrated, and the Climate Crap is LAYERED on top of it).

    But those Hurricane Forecasts... I think they save lives. And to the degree that I have a feel for how the High Pressure getting pushed down into FL helps drive the Hurricanes away from the coast... I think there is a bit of science here that is working.

    It's just all HIGHLY probability based... As it needs to be.
    ==
    But the ENTIRE CO2 thing is a HOAX of EPIC Proportions. We are far closer to the EXTINCTION LOWS of CO2 than we are to the HIGH CO2 Levels that were present DURING ICE AGES!
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    • Posted by CaptainKirk 3 months, 3 weeks ago
      Second Point. Since Increasing CO2 ONLY WARMS (and not cools) according to them.
      WHY did they rename Global Warming to "Climate Change". Besides being able to claim Extreme Cold as a side-effect of Climate Change without sounding like utter idiots?
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      • Posted by 3 months, 3 weeks ago
        Harder to be caught in a lie when whatever dribbles out can be claimed as evidence of an accurate forecast.
        How useful is a weather forecast that says 'today might be different or the same, but be afraid, just in case'?
        That is what 'climate change' is saying and doing so with no reliable evidence whatsoever.
        In this case it may be appropriate to 'kill the messenger' after a serious interrogation.
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  • Posted by Joseph23006 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    That's been the real problem with the climate change predictions since the 1970's (it was global warming then or was it cooling?). None of their predictions came true yet they still want us to believe them after 50 years of wild forecasts. True, there is climate change, there are millions of years of it. It's been hotter and it's been colder and people and animals have coped!
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  • Posted by Snakecane 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    Weather forecasting is a pseudo-science, but I CAN predict weather...in the Sahara Desert: hot and dry. Now, I'm a genius! All hail ME! And I didn't even use chicken guts.
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    • Posted by lrshultis 3 months, 3 weeks ago
      Edward Lorenz in 1963: "it is impossible for long-range forecasts—those made more than two weeks in advance—to predict the state of the atmosphere with any degree of skill, owing to the chaotic nature of the fluid dynamics equations involved."

      One belief is that as long as the models forecast within some imagined boundary conditions, that one can get an average somehow being a valid forecast. That is delusional, especially for chaotic system like weather.
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  • Posted by $ pixelate 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    The climate change models are more complex and unreliable than models for predicting the stock market.
    There is no value in long term climate modeling predictions.
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  • Posted by GaryL 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    For my second career I want to be a weatherman. What other profession pays well for being wrong most of the time.
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    • Posted by tutor-turtle 3 months, 3 weeks ago
      Back in the 1960's, our local weather forecasters thought they would play a little joke.
      Turns out there was a monkey (Chester) trained to throw darts.
      They hired Chester to forecast the weather by hitting a paper target marked "rain", "snow", "cloudy", "clear", "windy" etc.
      After about a week, Chester the Monkey was more accurate than the "professionals""
      It wasn't long after, Chester got his pink slip.
      True story.
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  • Posted by $ Radio_Randy 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    Well, I predict that the weather will suffer a sort of "zener effect', where global temps rise slowly for 49 years, then suddenly spike to deadly levels, like in an avalanche.

    THAT'S what those sly computers are trying to tell us...

    AI is fooling us into not preparing for the sudden takeover that is coming, hah, hah, hah!
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  • Posted by $ Stormi 3 months, 2 weeks ago
    They put too much emphasis on trying to confirm what the lying UN tells them weather will be. They believe in limited earth based radar. But the forget to realize, that weather if determined, not by man, but by Sun cycles and Earth cycles. We are closing out a Grand Solar minimum, colered weather, and will swithch to warmer. But more importantly, Earth magnetic poles are switching, and can caue weather instability, more earthquakes and vocanic activity. Taht is where they need to look. But, the UN and pwoers of governments seem to not like what they cannot blame on people's actions while just living. Radar cannot even accurately predit the UFO activity which happens over our street days in a row evry few weeks!
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  • Posted by Eyecu2 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    First thing that I want to say is that the entire climate change thing that the media screams about is nothing more than a concerted effort by the powers that be to manulipate and control the populace.

    With that said, 2 things spring to mind here. First climate change is real. We can see in the fossil record that the climate has rarely been stable for more than a few centuries. Second, short term weather prediction is much like short term stock market predictions. Nothing more than a reasonable guess based on the quality of your input data. The problem here is that we can say with certainty that the stock market will go up on the long term, based on over 100 years of evidence. While we have a similar amount of weather data it seems that they are intentionally misreading the data to manipulate the citizenry.
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    • Posted by 3 months, 3 weeks ago
      I couldn't agree more with your comments regarding climate change. 👍
      When you say "the stock market will go up" keep in mind
      (1) that over the past 110 years the federal reserve has been manipulating the economy and inflating the currency which makes everything with at least stable 'value' go up when measured in USD, and
      (2) that the DOW 30 index must go up over time because any company in that index that doesn't perform better than the market in general is removed from the index and replaced with a company that is performing better than most of the other public companies.
      In this way, Wall Street also intentionally uses data to mislead the citizenry.
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  • Posted by tutor-turtle 3 months, 3 weeks ago
    The day before a rain event is predicted, the skies here in the North East are covered in Chemtrails. Horizon to horizon.
    At the very same time, half the Jets are flying a parallel course, same height, same direction emitting normal contrails.
    As further evidence, one or two of the Chemtrail emitting jets will cycle the spryer on and off (perhaps adjusting the flow rate?).
    Now one could sarcastically speculate they are shutting their engines off to coast a few miles to save fuel, like you do driving down a long mountain road! LoL
    But what is crystal clear is that powers that be are spraying something. And a lot of it.

    There is your Mann-made climate change in a nut shell.
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  • Posted by $ Stormi 3 months, 2 weeks ago
    If they would do their homework, it would not be head scratching time. It is all out there for them to find. They mandated vaccines, which erase the immune system of recipients, then invited migrants with no vax history to bring in diseases. Now, we are seeing immunity dwindle but also the past vacine history along with it. As taht happens, we have all the diseases like measles, polio, etc. to which we should be protected but are no longer. Then add new diseases to our countyr, and weakened immune systems can neither fight them off nor develp an immunity. We also have to ask, into what did FAuci place the engr. strains from Canada, which went to the virology lab in China, of Ebola, hennipa and nipa? It was all meant to make us sick and depopulated, as per one world and UN quotas.
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